Tropical Cyclone Alert
“FRANCISCO” INTENSIFIES INTO A TYPHOON.
Location of eye/center : The center of Typhoon FRANCISCO was estimated based on all available data at at 820 km Northeast of Eastern Visayas (16.1, 131.5).
Strength : Maximum winds of 120 kph near the centerand gustiness of up to 150 kph.
Forecast movement : Forecast to move West Northwestward at 25 kph
Forecast position :
Jun 22, 2026 02:00 AM - 825 km East of Northern Luzon
Jun 22, 2026 02:00 PM - 610 km East of Tuguegarao City, Cagayan
Jun 23, 2026 02:00 AM - 470 km East Northeast of Tuguegarao City, Cagayan
Jun 23, 2026 02:00 PM - 370 km East of Calayan, Cagayan
Jun 24, 2026 02:00 AM - 280 km East of Basco, Batanes
Jun 24, 2026 02:00 PM - 235 km East of Itbayat, Batanes
Jun 25, 2026 02:00 PM - 325 km Northeast of Itbayat, Batanes
Jun 26, 2026 02:00 PM - 575 km North Northeast of Itbayat, Batanes (OUTSIDE PAR)
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND AREAS
Heavy Rainfall Outlook
FRANCISCO is less likely to directly affect the weather conditions in the country today. However, onset of heavy rains due to the Enhanced Southwest Monsoon is possible beginning tomorrow (22 June). A Weather Advisory may be issued today or tomorrow in anticipation of the heavy rains over Northern Luzon and some areas in the western portions of Luzon and Visayas.
Severe Winds
Based on the latest forecast track, Wind Signal No.1 may be hoisted in some localities in the northern and eastern portions of Cagayan, Babuyan Islands, and Batanes by tomorrow morning.
The Southwest Monsoon will bring strong to gale-force gusts over the following areas (especially in coastal and upland areas exposed to winds):
Today: Siquijor, Camiguin, the southern portion of Bohol, Southern Leyte, Davao Oriental, Davao Occidental, and Sarangani.
Tomorrow (22 June): La Union, Pangasinan, CALABARZON, Romblon, Masbate, most of Visayas, Basilan, Sulu, Zamboanga Peninsula, Misamis Occidental, Lanao del Norte, Camiguin, Surigao del Norte, Dinagat Islands, the eastern portion of Davao Occidental, and the eastern and southern portions of Davao Oriental.
Tuesday (23 June): Most of Luzon, Visayas, Zamboanga Peninsula, Northern Mindanao, Surigao del Norte, Dinagat Islands, Davao Occidental, and Davao Oriental.
HAZARDS AFFECTING COASTAL WATERS
24-Hour Sea Condition Outlook
Up to moderate seas over the following coastal waters:
Up to 2.5 m: The eastern seaboards of Isabela and Davao Oriental.
Up to 2.0 m: The seaboards of northern Aurora and Surigao del Sur; the eastern seaboards of Babuyan Islands, mainland Cagayan, Albay, Sorsogon, Eastern Samar, Dinagat Islands, Siargao Island-Bucas Grande Island Group, and Davao Occidental; the northern and eastern seaboards of Catanduanes and Northern Samar; the northern seaboard of Camarines Sur; the southern seaboard of Davao Oriental.
Mariners of motorbancas and similarly sized vessels are advised to take precautionary measures while venturing out to sea and, if possible, avoid navigation under these conditions.
Other coastal waters have forecast wave heights of less than 2.0 m.
TRACK AND INTENSITY OUTLOOK
It must be emphasized that heavy rainfall and severe winds may still be experienced in localities outside the forecast confidence cone. Refer to “Other Hazards affecting Land Areas” for more details. Furthermore, the track may still shift within the limit of the forecast confidence cone.
FRANCISCO will likely remain over the Philippine Sea throughout the forecast period. However, a closer approach to Extreme Northern Luzon is not ruled out should the forecast track continue to shift westward. FRANCISCO will move west northwestward until Wednesday (24 June), then it will decelerate as it recurves towards southern Japan for the rest of the forecast period.
FRANCISCO will further intensify until it reaches its peak intensity likely by Tuesday (23 June). Thereafter, a weakening trend is expected.
From: Jun 21, 2026 09:11
Until: Jun 21, 2026 22:11
General Flood Advisory (Moderate)
Under present weather conditions, At 3:00 PM today, the center of Typhoon "FRANCISCO" {MEKKHALA} was estimated based on all available data at 1,070 km East of Central Luzon (16.1°N, 131.6°E) with maximum sustained winds of 120 km/h near the center and gustiness of up to 150 km/h. It is moving West Northwestward at 25 km/h. Southwest Monsoon affecting Mindanao, the western section of Visayas, and Palawan.
The 12-hour rainfall forecast is Light to moderate rains and thunderstorms.
WATERCOURSES LIKELY TO BE AFFECTED :
+ **Lanao Del Norte** - Rivers and its tributaries particularly Mandulog, Agus, Liangan, Maranding, and Iligan.
+ **Misamis Occidental** - Rivers and its tributaries particularly Clarin, Palilan and Aloran.
+ **Misamis Oriental** - Rivers and its tributaries particularly Eastern Cagayan De Oro, Odiongan, Gingoog, Balatukan, Cabulig, Upper/Lower Tagoloan, Middle/Lower Western Cagayan De Oro, Iponan, and Alubijid.
+ **Camiguin** - All rivers and its tributaries
+ **Bukidnon** - Rivers and its tributaries particularly Upper Cagayan De Oro.
From: Jun 21, 2026 09:50
Until: Jun 21, 2026 21:50
General Flood Advisory (Moderate)
Under present weather conditions, Easterlies affecting the country.
The 12-hour rainfall forecast is Light to moderate rains and thunderstorms.
WATERCOURSES LIKELY TO BE AFFECTED :
+ **Lanao Del Norte** - Rivers and its tributaries particularly Mandulog, Agus, Liangan, Maranding, and Iligan.
+ **Misamis Occidental** - Rivers and its tributaries particularly Clarin, Palilan and Aloran.
From: Feb 25, 2026 21:17
Until: Feb 26, 2026 09:17
General Flood Advisory (Final)
Under present weather conditions, Easterlies affecting the country.
The 12-hour rainfall forecast is Isolated rainshowers or thunderstorms.
WATERCOURSES NO LONGER TO BE AFFECTED :
+ **Lanao Del Norte** - Rivers and its tributaries particularly Mandulog, Agus, Liangan, Maranding, and Iligan.
+ **Bukidnon** - Rivers and its tributaries particularly Upper Cagayan De Oro.
+ **Camiguin** - All rivers and its tributaries
+ **Misamis Occidental** - Rivers and its tributaries particularly Clarin, Palilan and Aloran.
+ **Misamis Oriental** - Rivers and its tributaries particularly Eastern Cagayan De Oro, Odiongan, Gingoog, Balatukan, Cabulig, Upper/Lower Tagoloan, Middle/Lower Western Cagayan De Oro, Iponan, and Alubijid.
From: Feb 23, 2026 21:07
Until: Feb 24, 2026 09:07
General Flood Advisory (Extreme)
Under present weather conditions, Shear Line affecting the eastern sections of Visayas and Mindanao. Northeast Monsoon affecting Luzon.
The 12-hour rainfall forecast is moderate to heavy rains.
WATERCOURSES LIKELY TO BE AFFECTED :
+ **Camiguin** - All rivers and its tributaries
+ **Lanao Del Norte** - Rivers and its tributaries particularly Mandulog, Agus, Liangan, Maranding, and Iligan.
+ **Bukidnon** - Rivers and its tributaries particularly Upper Cagayan De Oro.
+ **Misamis Oriental** - Rivers and its tributaries particularly Eastern Cagayan De Oro, Odiongan, Gingoog, Balatukan, Cabulig, Upper/Lower Tagoloan, Middle/Lower Western Cagayan De Oro, Iponan, and Alubijid.
+ **Misamis Occidental** - Rivers and its tributaries particularly Clarin, Palilan and Aloran.
From: Feb 19, 2026 21:23
Until: Feb 20, 2026 09:23
Tropical Cyclone Alert
““ADA” MAINTAINS ITS STRENGTH AS IT MOVES NORTHWARD OVER THE PHILIPPINE SEA
Location of eye/center : The center of Tropical Storm ADA was estimated based on all available data at at 275 km Northeast of Virac, Catanduanes (15.6, 125.7).
Strength : Maximum winds of 65 kph near the centerand gustiness of up to 80 kph.
Forecast movement : Forecast to move Northward at 15 kph
Forecast position :
Jan 19, 2026 08:00 AM - 415 km East of Casiguran, Aurora
Jan 19, 2026 08:00 PM - 560 km East of Casiguran, Aurora
Jan 20, 2026 08:00 AM - 715 km East of Casiguran, Aurora
Jan 20, 2026 08:00 PM - 820 km East of Central Luzon
Jan 21, 2026 08:00 AM - 965 km East of Southeastern Luzon
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND AREAS
Severe Winds
The Northeast Monsoon and the periphery of ADA will also bring strong to gale-force gusts over the following areas (especially in coastal and upland areas exposed to winds):
Today: Batanes, Cagayan, Isabela, Quirino, Ilocos Norte, Aurora, Polillo Islands, Camarines Sur, and Catanduanes
Tomorrow (19 January): Batanes, Cagayan, Isabela, Aurora, Polillo Islands, Camarines Sur, and Catanduanes.
Tuesday (20 January): Batanes, Cagayan, Isabela, Ilocos Norte, Abra, Aurora, Quezon, Marinduque, Romblon, Camarines Norte, Camarines Sur, Catanduanes, Albay, Sorsogon, and Northern Samar.
HAZARDS AFFECTING COASTAL WATERS
There is no Gale Warning hoisted at this time.
24-Hour Sea Condition Outlook
Up to rough seas over the following coastal waters:
Up to 4.0 m: The seaboard of Isabela; the eastern seaboard of mainland Cagayan.
Up to 3.5 m: The eastern seaboard of Babuyan Islands; the seaboard of northern Aurora; the northern and eastern seaboards of Polillo Islands; the northern seaboards of Camarines Sur, Camarines Norte, and Catanduanes.
Up to 3.0 m: The seaboards of Ilocos Norte and Ilocos Sur; the western seaboard of Pangasinan; the eastern seaboard of Catanduanes.
Mariners of small seacrafts, including all types of motorbancas, are advised not to venture out to sea under these conditions, especially if inexperienced or operating ill-equipped vessels.
Up to moderate seas over the following coastal waters:
Up to 2.5 m: The remaining seaboard of Aurora; the seaboard of northern mainland Quezon; the western seaboard of Polillo Islands; the eastern seaboards of Albay and Sorsogon; the northern and eastern seaboards of Northern Samar.
Up to 2.0 m: The seaboard of Zambales; the eastern seaboard of Eastern Samar; the remaining seaboard of Ilocos Region.
Mariners of motorbancas and similarly sized vessels are advised to take precautionary measures while venturing out to sea and, if possible, avoid navigation under these conditions.
Other coastal waters have forecast wave heights of less than 2.0 m.
TRACK AND INTENSITY OUTLOOK
It must be emphasized that heavy rainfall and severe winds may still be experienced in localities outside the landfall point and the forecast confidence cone. Refer to “Other Hazards affecting Land Areas” for more details. Furthermore, the track may still shift within the limit of the forecast confidence cone.
ADA is forecast to move generally northeastward until tomorrow (19 January). From tomorrow onwards, ADA is forecast to follow a looping track over the sea east of Luzon. Changes in forecast track over the succeeding bulletins remains possible.
Due to the surge of the northeast monsoon, ADA is forecast to weaken into a tropical depression by tomorrow (19 January) before further weakening into a low pressure area by Wednesday (21 January). An earlier weakening remains possible.
From: Jan 18, 2026 15:58
Until: Jan 19, 2026 04:57
General Flood Advisory (Severe)
Under present weather conditions, Shear Line affecting the eastern section of Southern Luzon. Northeast Monsoon affecting the rest of Luzon. Easterlies affecting the rest of the country.
The 12-hour rainfall forecast is light to moderate rains and thunderstorms.
WATERCOURSES LIKELY TO BE AFFECTED :
+ **Misamis Occidental** - Rivers and its tributaries particularly Clarin, Palilan and Aloran.
+ **Bukidnon** - Rivers and its tributaries particularly Upper Cagayan De Oro.
+ **Lanao Del Norte** - Rivers and its tributaries particularly Mandulog, Agus, Liangan, Maranding, and Iligan.
+ **Misamis Oriental** - Rivers and its tributaries particularly Eastern Cagayan De Oro, Odiongan, Gingoog, Balatukan, Cabulig, Upper/Lower Tagoloan, Middle/Lower Western Cagayan De Oro, Iponan, and Alubijid.
+ **Camiguin** - All rivers and its tributaries
From: Jan 05, 2026 21:28
Until: Jan 06, 2026 09:28
General Flood Advisory (Moderate)
Under present weather conditions, Shear Line affecting Southern Luzon. Northeast Monsoon affecting Northern and Central Luzon. Easterlies affecting the rest of the country.
The 12-hour rainfall forecast is LIGHT TO MODERATE RAINS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
WATERCOURSES STILL LIKELY TO BE AFFECTED :
+ **Lanao Del Norte** - Rivers and its tributaries particularly Mandulog, Agus, Liangan, Maranding, and Iligan.
+ **Misamis Oriental** - Rivers and its tributaries particularly Eastern Cagayan De Oro, Odiongan, Gingoog, Balatukan, Cabulig, Upper/Lower Tagoloan, Middle/Lower Western Cagayan De Oro, Iponan, and Alubijid.
+ **Misamis Occidental** - Rivers and its tributaries particularly Clarin, Palilan and Aloran.
+ **Bukidnon** - Rivers and its tributaries particularly Upper Cagayan De Oro.
From: Jan 01, 2026 21:13
Until: Jan 02, 2026 09:13
